TWO GUYS TO GET in your Draft
Due to their value and where they're going in every draft I've done, compared to where I believe they'll end up at the end of the year, I want to come away from every draft with Rey Maualuga (Cin) & Daryl Washington (Ari) with the exception to this rule being David Hawthorne (Sea). If you're leaguemates don't know who Hawthorne is and you can grab him after 10 guys are already off the board, then he's the first one you want to grab, but I feel pretty confident that both Rey & Daryl will slip WAY lower than they are actually worth.
Don't get me wrong, if your draft is going perfect and you have every guy you wanted to get by the 6th or 7th round and you feel comfortable grabbing Patrick Willis, then definitely go for it. I've done that already, but I already had 2 stud RBs, Romo and Andre Johnson, Reggie Wayne & Wes Welker as my team at that point. But, if you started behind because you took Aaron Rodgers and a tight end early or something, waiting on IDPs while you scramble to gather up Reggie Bush & Austin Collie is a nice strategy and both Ray & Daryl are the one's to target. If you miss Daryl, then a poor man's version of him this year is Sean Weatherspoon (Atl).
TWO GUYS TO AVOID (due to ADP value & injury risk)
Jon Beason (Car) and DJ Williams (Den) are both too risky for their draft value. Their names are simply too popular and 2 screws holding together Beason's achillis & no practice does not allow me to sleep well at night with him being my first IDP draft pick. And neither does a dislocated elbow for Williams who's being shuffled on that defense who has Joe Mays in the middle and it's trying to feature the Dumervill/Von Miller show on the other side. I'd much, much rather have Desmond Bishop or Derrick Johnson over either one of these guys at that elite level.
Bottom line though is I think you can get Rey around the 14th or 15th in mixed drafts and Daryl closer to 18-20 range and they have the potential to put up top 10 LB numbers this year. Especially Rey. So that's a piece of the old Monk strategy for ya and I hope I'm not too late with this advice for many of you.
I know I still have 4 more drafts to go myself so I'm hoping many of you are still needing draft advice as well at this point. Good luck!
P.S. As a bonus if you want to know my offensive guys I'm targeting this year that I feel meet or exceed their value, here they are (remember, this is coming from a defensive guy so take that for what its worth)
OFFENSIVE VALUE TARGETS (added 2 new guys in red recently)
Miles Austin (love what he & Romo have & think Bryant only makes it better. Their defensive backs are awful so Tony will be throwing every game to keep up)
Phillip Rivers (a value in the 3rd if you ask me)
Peyton Hillis (Dropping too far in drafts & I'm Christian. I don't believe in goofy video game curses. By the way, Hillis is Christian too so neither does he)
Mark Ingram (usually I avoid rookies, but this guy could have 15 TDs if preseason has told us anything)
L. Blount (getting no respect yet he shares the backfield with no one and I see them handing the ball off to this guy 25 times a game with the schedule they have coming up)
Mario Manningham (Nicks is going to be double teamed and who else is Eli going to throw it too. Seriously, think about it. Manningham has incredible run after catch skills too. Think of him as Jeremy Maclin last year finishing with more catches than DeSean Jackson. That's the situation.)
Beanie Wells (you can get a starting back who shares the backfield with no one very cheap. oh, and this guy is one of the top 5 athletes in the league when he's actually motivated. he has to know this is his very last chance to be a starter in this league.)
Tim Hightower (4.7 yards a carry last year with that terrible line in Arizona and the Redskins line is MUCH better with Shannahan coaching. great value here, especially if you can get Helu a bit later in the draft)
Matthew Stafford (why do I have this feeling we'll be talking about him next year at this time as a guy we will take over Matt Shaub and maybe even before Tony Romo?)
Lee Evans (He has the connection with Flacco and he's the only downfield threat that team has. Flacco will play with his new toy a lot!)
Jimmy Graham (I'm all in. He looks incredible. Jermichael Finley lite with less injury risk. Did you know he's 6'6" and burning guys on the seam route? That's just unfair)
Lance Moore (I like that he was injured here in pre-season. It's not serious and lowered his value even more for me to get him at an even better value)
Jordy Nelson (Because it's been cloudy and downplayed and people have put more stock than they should into the resigning of James Jones, we forget about the connection Aaron has with Jordy. It might be because they both have somewhat girly first names. Seriously, Nelson is the #3 on that team behind Finley & Jennings and Jennings will be double teamed. Jordy can be had at a great value in your drafts.)
Willis McGahee (don't ever forget how incredible this guy was in college before that brutally disgusting leg injury. He entered the league as a "hope & a pray" by the Bills and was used sparingly. He's still got relatively low mileage and now he's got a real opportunity in Denver. He could get 45% of the carries & all the goaline touches and you can have him in the 11 or 12th round. Give me some of that!)
Brandon Jacobs (take everything I just said about McGahee, but add the fact that 45% of the carries on a running team like the Giants is even more carries and even more goaline chances for Jacobs)
Jared Cook (It's no secret that Hasselback likes to use his TEs and he has been their top receiver through pre-season. Kenny Britt is sporadic to say the least both on and off the field so I'll take Cook around the 15th or 16th or even the 18th round and have a potential top 10 TE. Absolutely!)
Ben Tate (he's starting to shoot up charts, but if you can get him late, he has some SERIOUS upside. Remember, this is the guy every one though would be the guy in Houston last year before he got injured.)
(PPR ONLY) Danny Woodhead (34 catches for 400 yards & 97 rushes for 547 & 5 TDs with a 5.6 yards per rush average. You've got a 1000 yard guy with 5 TDs sitting here at the very end of a deep draft. That is VALUE!)
Lastly & this is a deep reach at TE, but Evan Moore of Cleveland looks to be Colt McCoy's favorite target. He's fast with great hands and you can't get a better value than the waiver wire which is where he's going in many leagues. I guarantee by week 2 or 3, you'll see people dropping guys like Tony Gonzalas for this guy)